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Case Study: 150nm Prediction

We predicted a bulk carrier's berth time from 280km away. Error: 36 minutes.

150nm
Distance
21.6h
Predicted
21.0h
Actual
36 min
Error

The Full Timeline

Time (UTC+1) Distance Zone Predicted TTB
2026-01-22 08:30 150nm APPROACH_FAR 21.6h
2026-01-22 14:00 117nm APPROACH_FAR 17.8h
2026-01-22 17:00 73nm APPROACH_FAR 7.3h
2026-01-22 20:15 24nm APPROACH_CLOSE 5.9h
2026-01-23 02:45 10.5nm ANCHORAGE 4.8h
2026-01-23 05:00 2.1nm APPROACH_CLOSE 1.4h
2026-01-23 05:30 - BERTH ARRIVED

The Math

First Prediction

  • Time: 2026-01-22 08:30 UTC+1
  • Distance: 150nm (280km)
  • Predicted TTB: 21.6 hours

Actual Result

  • Berth Time: 2026-01-23 05:30 UTC+1
  • Actual TTB: 21.0 hours
  • Error: 36 minutes

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